Are Bitcoin Traders Pulling Back? Open Interest Plummets By 50% In A Sudden Market Reset

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With the crypto market turning increasingly bearish, Bitcoin’s price has experienced another pullback, bringing it closer to the $80,000 mark once again. Along with the current drop in price, BTC’s derivatives market is showcasing bearish performance, suffering one of its steepest declines of the ongoing cycle.

Mass Derivative Unwind For Bitcoin

In a volatile landscape, Bitcoin’s Open Interest (OI) has contracted sharply as though the speculative framework supporting the market were suddenly removed. This steep drop in open interest comes after a sudden pullback in the price of BTC, causing it to lose the previously reclaimed $91,000 mark.

A report from Darkfost, a market expert and author at CryptoQuant, shows that the open interest has been sliced in half, indicating a drastic shift in investors’ sentiment and behavior. With a massive portion of leverage being evaporated, the market now stands unusually silent, while it prepares for its next decisive trigger.

Darkfost highlighted that Bitcoin leveraged positions continue to get liquidated or are being intentionally closed. Despite the recent drop in BTC’s price, this period of uncertainty is not bolstering traders’ enthusiasm to increase their exposure to risk.

Currently, the market is exhibiting a risk-off attitude, a trend that is understandable given the current state of the crypto environment. As a result, the open interest of BTC has cleared a whopping $20 billion. Data shared by the expert shows that the key metric fell from 47.5 billion BTC to 28.35 billion BTC between October 6 and December, indicating a drop of half during the period. 

According to the expert, this is the worst flush in both the current cycle and the history of Bitcoin since the availability of the derivatives market. “I continue to say that the derivatives market has a major impact on Bitcoin and is the number one driver,” Darkfost stated.

BTC Percentage Loss Hits Historic Level

As the Bitcoin price continues to pull back, short-term BTC holders are feeling the weight of the waning action. These holders, also referred to as retail investors, have realized substantial losses from their positions. 

Darkfost’s research is based solely on the spot market. His objective is to identify a very particular group of investors who speculate over the short term. With a realized price of $113,692, BTC holders between 1 month and 3 months are now experiencing the largest percentage loss in the ongoing market cycle. 

For the past two weeks, this group of investors has been holding average unrealized losses between 20% and 25%. During his cycle, these phases have been linked with the creation of a bottom. This is because the cohort often has to decide between two behaviors: selling or holding.

In the event that a large portion of these traders are capitulating, this is typically the moment when the opportunity to accumulate BTC becomes more interesting, as observed in recent weeks. However, this setup becomes valid if the bullish trend remains intact in the long term, which Darkfost expresses trust in for the meantime.

Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

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